Conditional Probability
A single card is drawn at random from a standard well-shuffled deck and is observed to be a face card; what is the probability that this drawn card is a king?
Select the correct option:
Solution
1/3
Conditional probability P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B) restricts attention to the reduced sample space in which the conditioning event B has already occurred. Here the conditioning event is that the card is a face card, of which a standard deck contains exactly 12 (jacks, queens, and kings across four suits), forming the new effective sample space. This is a textbook JEE Advanced reduced-sample-space situation. Among these 12 face cards, exactly 4 are kings, and since every king is itself a face card, the intersection of "king" and "face card" is just the 4 kings. Therefore the conditional probability equals 4/12 = 1/3. Option 1/4 wrongly conditions on suit rather than on the face-card set. Option 1/13 ignores the conditioning entirely and uses the unconditional chance of drawing a king. Option 4/52 is the raw unconditional probability written before reduction. The governing rule is the restriction of the sample space to the conditioning event, the essence of conditional probability. Plausibility check: 1/3 lies strictly between 0 and 1 and exceeds the unconditional 1/13, which is expected because conditioning on face cards should raise the chance of a king.
🔒 Solution Hidden from View
Submit your answer to unlock the detailed step-by-step solution.
More conditional probability Practice Questions
Suppose events A and B satisfy P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 1/3, and the conditional probability P(A given B) ...
Suppose events A and B satisfy P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 1/3, and the conditional probability P(A given B) ...
Two players alternately roll a fair die starting with the first player, and whoever first rolls a si...
Two players alternately roll a fair die starting with the first player, and whoever first rolls a si...
The conditional probability P(A|B) is defined as
The conditional probability P(A|B) is defined as
About This Question
- Subject
- mathematics
- Chapter
- statistics and probability
- Topic
- conditional probability
- Difficulty
- Easy
- Year
- 2025
Solution
Correct Answer:
1/3
Conditional probability P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B)/P(B) restricts attention to the reduced sample space in which the conditioning event B has already occurred. Here the conditioning event is that the card is a face card, of which a standard deck contains exactly 12 (jacks, queens, and kings across four suits), forming the new effective sample space. This is a textbook JEE Advanced reduced-sample-space situation. Among these 12 face cards, exactly 4 are kings, and since every king is itself a face card, the intersection of "king" and "face card" is just the 4 kings. Therefore the conditional probability equals 4/12 = 1/3. Option 1/4 wrongly conditions on suit rather than on the face-card set. Option 1/13 ignores the conditioning entirely and uses the unconditional chance of drawing a king. Option 4/52 is the raw unconditional probability written before reduction. The governing rule is the restriction of the sample space to the conditioning event, the essence of conditional probability. Plausibility check: 1/3 lies strictly between 0 and 1 and exceeds the unconditional 1/13, which is expected because conditioning on face cards should raise the chance of a king.
This easy difficulty mathematics question is from the chapter statistics and probability, covering the topic of conditional probability. It appeared in the 2025 exam.
Looking for more practice? Explore all mathematics questions or browse statistics and probability questions on RankGuru.